Baseball’s Best GM’s

March 6, 2010 by TommyT

In a recent Sports Illustrated article, Tim Marchman ranked Baseball’s General Managers.  He states correctly that there is not a good objective way to measure a GM’s success because of so many variables to factor in.Brian Cashman

His criteria?  Simple things really:

  1. Success
  2. Not Doing Stupid Things
  3. Efficiency
  4. Dislike for Your Team (pretty funny joke)
  5. Tenure

You know me by now and know that number 4 is definitely going to factor in to my rankings rantings.

Here’s what he said about the Yankees:

No team spends more per win than the New York Yankees, but few would say that Brian Cashman is anything other than one of the best in the game at his trade.

Um…put me in with that few.  I don’t know how you say that the GM for the top spending team in baseball by a wide margin is one of the best.  I guess you can call Cash-man successful in the way that Hugh Hefner is the best lothario on the planet.  I mean really…throwing more money around than anyone else to get the best players does not make a great GM, in my opinion.

Why?

It’s all about the Benjamins.  And that weighed heavily on my mind when reading the article.  Cash-man is good.  Theo Epstein of the Sawx is good, too.  They’re always at the top of the GM list.  The Minnesota Twins are very good every year and seem to lose a superstar every other year and most times don’t miss a beat.

I wanted to try and figure out how to tell.  Can someone be a great GM with all the money in the world?  I think I could be.  Give me Omar Minaya’s job.  I really wanted something along the lines of what Bum Phillips said about Don Shula:

He can take his’n and beat your’n and take your’n and beat his’n.

And that’s where efficiency comes in.  I think wins per dollar spent is a very good metric for that.  And this metric is not factored in to the Marchman rankings.  However, I believe that success is a great metric as well.  After all, you can spend cheaply and lose a ton of games and your win per dollar ratio looks pretty good.

And the only way you can measure success is wins.  Throwing money at the best players should make you fairly successful (except you, Omar Minaya), but it’s not necessarily efficient.  And just because you in the job for a long time, doesn’t necessarily mean you’re doing a great job either.

So, in order to be more objective in my rankings and using only 2009 data, my criteria is as follows:

  1. Success – if you won more than you lost, you are eligible for the top rankings.  So 1-15 are teams that are above .500 and 16-30 are below.
  2. Efficiency – I am using the dollars per win metric as the second criteria.  Same as above.  If you are 1-15 in the dollars/per win column, you can make the top.  If not, sorry.

That’s it.  The most successful team with the best efficiency has the best GM.  The least successful team with the least efficiency has the worst.  The teams that are either efficient or successful fall in the middle.   Simple enough, eh?

Success

2009 Team Payroll Payroll Rank Wins Cost Per Win Cost Per Win Rank GM
New York Yankees $201,449,289 1 103 $2,029,918.22 30 Brian Cashman
Los Angeles Angels $113,709,000 6 97 $1,229,034.36 21 Tony Reagins
Boston Red Sox $122,696,000 4 95 $1,404,105.63 25 Theo Epstein
Los Angeles Dodgers $100,458,101 9 95 $1,238,594.55 16 Ned Colletti
Philadelphia Phillies $113,004,048 7 93 $1,275,145.55 22 Ruben Amaro Jr.
Colorado Rockies $75,201,000 18 92 $805,627.12 7 Dan O’Dowd
St. Louis Cardinals $88,528,411 13 91 $1,074,658.24 11 John Mozeliak
San Francisco Giants $82,161,450 14 88 $1,010,572.89 10 Brian Sabean
Texas Rangers $68,646,023 22 87 $772,370.64 6 Jon Daniels
Minnesota Twins $65,299,267 24 87 $669,488.51 3 Bill Smith
Florida Marlins $36,814,000 30 87 $250,706.90 1 Larry Beinfest
Detroit Tigers $115,085,145 5 86 $1,409,178.28 26 Dave Dombrowski
Atlanta Braves $96,726,167 11 86 $1,158,423.83 19 Frank Wren
Seattle Mariners $98,904,167 10 85 $1,204,302.15 20 Jack Zduriencik
Tampa Bay Rays $63,313,035 25 84 $677,771.02 4 Andrew Friedman

The top 5 teams all spent money to win.  But the cost per win ranking shows that these GMs are not really all that efficient.

Efficiency

2009 Team Payroll Payroll Rank Wins Cost Per Win Cost Per Win Rank GM
Florida Marlins $36,814,000 30 87 $250,706.90 1 Larry Beinfest
San Diego Padres $42,796,700 29 75 $584,274.63 2 Jed Hoyer
Minnesota Twins $65,299,267 24 87 $669,488.51 3 Bill Smith
Tampa Bay Rays $63,313,035 25 84 $677,771.02 4 Andrew Friedman
Oakland Athletics $62,310,000 26 75 $732,813.33 5 Billy Beane
Texas Rangers $68,646,023 22 87 $772,370.64 6 Jon Daniels
Pittsburgh Pirates $48,743,000 28 62 $773,663.32 7 Neal Huntington
Colorado Rockies $75,201,000 18 92 $805,627.12 8 Dan O’Dowd
Washington Nationals $59,328,000 27 59 $825,250.56 9 Mike Rizzo
Cincinnati Reds $70,968,500 20 78 $880,198.72 10 Walt Jocketty
Milwaukee Brewers $79,857,502 17 80 $957,431.25 11 Doug Melvin
San Francisco Giants $82,161,450 14 88 $1,010,572.89 12 Brian Sabean
Baltimore Orioles $67,101,667 23 64 $1,034,417.38 13 Andy MacPhail
Kansas City Royals $70,908,333 21 65 $1,041,728.09 14 Dayton Moore
Arizona Diamondbacks $73,571,667 19 70 $1,052,537.37 15 Josh Byrnes

Three of the top five here are efficient and successful.  Florida has the lowest payroll in the league and still was successful.

The Worst

So without further ado, here are BBI’s five worst GMs – the ones that were neither efficient, nor successful.

Mark Shapiro of the Indians tops our list.  Go Tribe.

Mark Shapiro

BBI Rank 2009 Team GM Marchman GM Rank
30 Cleveland Indians Mark Shapiro 22
29 Kansas City Royals Dayton Moore 30
28 New York Mets Omar Minaya 26
27 Houston Astros Ed Wade 29
26 Toronto Blue Jays Alex Anthopolous 24

The Best

Larry Beinfest

BBI Rank 2009 Team GM Marchman GM Rank
1 Florida Marlins Larry Beinfest 4
2 Minnesota Twins Bill Smith 21
3 Tampa Bay Rays Andrew Friedman 1
4 Texas Rangers Jon Daniels 8
5 Colorado Rockies Dan O’Dowd 7

The Question

Could Cash-man do in Florida what Beinfest does?  And could Beinfest do in NY what Cash-man does?

Complete Table

2009 Team Payroll Payroll Rank Wins Cost Per Win Cost Per Win Rank GM Marchman GM Rank
***New York Yankees $201,449,289 1 103 $2,029,918.22 30 Brian Cashman 3
New York Mets $135,773,988 2 70 $1,968,476.80 29 Omar Minaya 26
Chicago Cubs $135,050,000 3 83 $1,658,857.78 28 Jim Hendry 16
^Boston Red Sox $122,696,000 4 95 $1,404,105.63 25 Theo Epstein 2
Detroit Tigers $115,085,145 5 86 $1,409,178.28 26 Dave Dombrowski 13
*Los Angeles Angels $113,709,000 6 97 $1,229,034.36 20 Tony Reagins 15
**Philadelphia Phillies $113,004,048 7 93 $1,275,145.55 24 Ruben Amaro Jr. 19
Houston Astros $102,996,415 8 74 $1,599,268.01 27 Ed Wade 29
*Los Angeles Dodgers $100,458,101 9 95 $1,238,594.55 21 Ned Colletti 26
Seattle Mariners $98,904,167 10 85 $1,204,302.15 19 Jack Zduriencik 5
Atlanta Braves $96,726,167 11 86 $1,158,423.83 18 Frank Wren 17
Chicago White Sox $96,068,500 12 79 $1,243,922.53 22 Ken Williams 9
*St. Louis Cardinals $88,528,411 13 91 $1,074,658.24 17 John Mozeliak 18
San Francisco Giants $82,161,450 14 88 $1,010,572.89 12 Brian Sabean 28
Cleveland Indians $81,625,567 15 65 $1,245,192.29 23 Mark Shapiro 22
Toronto Blue Jays $80,993,657 16 75 $1,052,934.21 16 Alex Anthopolous 24
Milwaukee Brewers $79,857,502 17 80 $957,431.25 11 Doug Melvin 6
^Colorado Rockies $75,201,000 18 92 $805,627.12 8 Dan O’Dowd 7
Arizona Diamondbacks $73,571,667 19 70 $1,052,537.37 15 Josh Byrnes 11
Cincinnati Reds $70,968,500 20 78 $880,198.72 10 Walt Jocketty 14
Kansas City Royals $70,908,333 21 65 $1,041,728.09 14 Dayton Moore 30
Texas Rangers $68,646,023 22 87 $772,370.64 6 Jon Daniels 8
Baltimore Orioles $67,101,667 23 64 $1,034,417.38 13 Andy MacPhail 12
*Minnesota Twins $65,299,267 24 87 $669,488.51 3 Bill Smith 21
Tampa Bay Rays $63,313,035 25 84 $677,771.02 4 Andrew Friedman 1
Oakland Athletics $62,310,000 26 75 $732,813.33 5 Billy Beane 10
Washington Nationals $59,328,000 27 59 $825,250.56 9 Mike Rizzo 23
Pittsburgh Pirates $48,743,000 28 62 $773,663.32 7 Neal Huntington 20
San Diego Padres $42,796,700 29 75 $584,274.63 2 Jed Hoyer 25
Florida Marlins $36,814,000 30 87 $250,706.90 1 Larry Beinfest 4


^ = wild card
* = division winner
** = World Series loser
*** = World Series winner

Sources: 2009 MLB Salary data from CBSSports.com; 2009 MLB Regular Season Standings from MLB

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